


3. Unanimously Agreeable Rationale of Governance These are three chapters of "Coalition of Borrowers, Note: I own a few shares of Fannie Mae now. I did not hold any company's stock in 1991, however, when I found through research, mimeographed at the Federal Reserve Board, Washington, D.C., that the federal guarantee of bank debt was inefficient and unstable for the system of money and finance. I have found now a similar conclusion about FMIC, as presented in the paper on coalition of borrowers. This taxpayer or public guarantee of bank debt is the root cause of moral hazard, instability and inefficiency of the system of money and finance, which also transgresses the constitutional tenet of fundamental fairness. |
| 3. Unanimously Agreeable Rationale of Governance
The prevailing rationale of governance assumes that individuals maximize the utilities of their wealth or consumption. This rationale has inextricably bonded the vast majority of households, their employers and governments with an estimated $100 trillion of debt worldwide. The gargantuan debt burden is the crux of the current global economic crisis. The vast majority of indentured borrowers cannot accept the prevailing rationale of governance that has caused their bondage. No one including usurpers (robbers) will like to be usurped (robbed), even surreptitiously. This universal fact makes governance that precludes usurpation unanimously agreeable. This memo illustrates how the U.S. can use the unanimously agreeable rationale of governance to set policy for the two home financing entities, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Foundation of the Prevailing Rationale of Governance: Robert Lucas won Nobel memorial prize in economics for rationalizing arguments-of Nobel colleagues Milton Friedman and Edmund Phelps and John Muth-that monetary stimulus (printing or borrowing new money and/or cutting interest rate on savings) raises future inflation while boosting employment only in short run, not long run.[1] Governments and central banks have followed this rationalization to inject frequent monetary stimuli to boost employment in short runs. This is how the staggering amount of debt has been created worldwide. The rationale underlying frequent short run monetary stimuli is Ken Arrow’s Nobel memorial prize winning theory that individuals make choices by maximizing the utility of their wealth or consumption. The unanimously agreeable rationale of governance stated above is necessary to resolve an apparently abstruse policy on Fannie and Freddie. Contrast the opposite preferences of creditors and debtors:
Creditors and borrowers arrive at diametrically opposite choices based on maximization of utilities of their wealth or consumption. The government cannot, therefore, use the prevailing rationale of maximization of utilities of individuals to set a policy for Fannie and Freddie. The vast majority of borrowers will not accept the prevailing rationale for governance which has inextricably bonded them. So, how should the government decide whether to continue or wind down Fannie and Freddie? Research shows that Fannie and Freddie-as private shareholder-owned entities, regulated like private banks-are necessary to attain equilibrium (stability), efficiency and fundamental fairness in the economy. This equilibrium is remarkably consistent with the unanimously agreeable rationale of governance for the following reasons:
The extant punditry for winding down Fannie and Freddie is not logically founded in the prevailing rationale of governance. Such punditry is also inconsistent with the unanimously agreeable rationale of governance, presented here. The unanimously agreeable rationale of governance is constitutional, stable and efficient. The prevailing punditry to wind down Fannie and Freddie is unconstitutional, inefficient and unstable. 4. Federal Mortgage Insurance Corporation is financially suicidal for taxpayers. Senators Tim Johnson and Mike Crapo have revived the Corker-Warner bill (a) to transfer all Fannie and Freddie mortgage assets to private banks at unstated prices and (b) to create a Federal Mortgage Insurance Corporation (FMIC) to offer taxpayer guarantee at unstated insurance premiums for the second 90% loss on mortgage loans issued and held by private banks. In other words, the Johnson-Crapo-Corker-Warner bill presumes that the 2008 financial catastrophe did not occur and that such a catastrophe would never occur. In fact, this bill is consistent with the declaration of the president of American Economic Association in 2003 that the finance industry was invincible, i.e., immune to risk of Great Depression. In the same year, I had warned the Congress about a looming financial crisis due to moral hazard. I had then proposed (i) a safe central banking policy and (ii) a consolidated bank capital requirement for bank holding companies to preemptively avert the crisis. The Congress adopted these policies in 2008, only after taxpayers lost trillions of dollars, millions of jobs were wiped out and many families ignominiously lost their homes. Rampant moral hazard in the finance industry is the root cause of the economically debilitating financial crisis of 2008. Moral hazard is due to federally insured mega bank executives owning private hedge funds for them and allied wealthy and powerful creditors. The wealth and power stem from transfer of wealth from the rest of society through highly leveraged trading shenanigans based on federally insured cheap deposits and information garnered from order flows at market making subsidiaries. Even the U.K. Prime Minister, Gordon Brown, has admitted in a column in Washington Post in October 2008 that the financial crisis was due to undisclosed and irresponsible lending. One of my papers argues how lending federally insured funds to private hedge funds is financially suicidal to taxpayers. The FMIC will raise the moral hazard risk facing taxpayers to a gargantuan level. For example, a private bank issues pure toxic (liar) loans, gets the loan pool rated AAA by bribing rating agencies and then insures it by the FMIC for the bottom 90% of losses for, say, at most 10% of par value of the loans. The loans default 100%. The FMIC pays the bank 90% for the default coverage, ex post, while the private bank pays FMIC for insurance of10% of loan value. The private bank makes 80% of the par value of loans from taxpayers by taking no risk and by making no real loan. The idea of FMIC underlying Johnson-Crapo-Corker-Warner Bill is, thus, financially suicidal for taxpayers. If Fannie and Freddie operate as private-shareholder owned government-regulated lenders, they will not purchase such liar loans and will promptly sue private banks for selling such loans. FDIC has rarely, if at all, sued mega private banks. FMIC will also act like the FDIC as an agent, not regulator, of private banks. Fannie and Freddie have not hesitated in suing private banks to collect hefty settlements for mortgage fraud. If the idea of the senators is to let the private banks and other creditors benefit from the current profits of Fannie and Freddie due to mortgage lending, they should have FHFA allow every investor including banks to purchase Fannie-Freddie mortgage backed securities. This freedom for investment in Fannie and Freddie securities indeed existed before the GSEs were taken over by the government through conservatorship. Resumption of this freedom to invest in Fannie and Freddie securities will allow banks, creditors and investors to have a skin in the game to gain the enormous profits accruing to Fannie and Freddie due to their efficiency in risk pooling. This necessitates scrapping of conservatorship and counting all payments (so-called dividends) made by Fannie and Freddie as repayment of loans made by the Treasury to the GSEs. Fannie and Freddie were brought under conservatorship basically to buy the toxic private bank loans using taxpayer funds passed through Fannie and Freddie. Most of the $188 billion lent by the US Treasury to Fannie and Freddie and the internal cash reserves of the two firms written down by government decree were indeed given away by taxpayers, borrowers and shareholders to private banks during the 2008 crisis. Such give away vitiates the Uniformly Agreeable Rationale of Governance. The private banks now want to purchase the good mortgage loans held by Fannie and Freddie at throw-away prices after passage of the Johnson-Crapo-Corker-Warner Bill. This will amount to a transfer of wealth from taxpayers, Fannie-Freddie shareholders and borrowers to private hedge funds via private banks. Why should taxpayers, borrowers and Fannie-Freddie shareholders agree to such transfer of wealth to private hedge funds, owned and controlled by privileged mega banking executives and associated creditors? This bill is another scheme to privatize gains and socialize losses. The argument that private banks do not have a level playing field to compete with Fannie and Freddie on issuance of mortgage loans is specious for the following reasons:
The only purpose of the Johnson-Crapo-Corker-Warner Bill (dismantling Fannie and Freddie and creating FMIC) that one can infer rationally is to rip off taxpayers, borrowers and current Fannie and Freddie security holders for further aggrandizement of privileged private hedge fund owners. All the new lending standards in the bill can be adopted by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac so that borrowers have no subsidy, according to my no-subsidy mantra of governance to attain the most efficiently competitive economy. This paper forms the basis of all crucial historical struggles faced by mankind, starting with Saint Vashistha proposing zero interest rate on fiat money in 500 B.C. Saint Vashistha is described as an Indian Lawmaker in British literature. He undoubtedly was the first recorded monetary economist. Philosophers Aristotle and Plato also sought zero interest rate on fiat money. Prophet Mohammed enunciated a new religion to establish a riba-free (interest rate free) system in 600 A.D. The Bible too adopted this philosophy in 1700 A.D. For the first time, however, we now have a rigorous proof within a general equilibrium model of modern economics that the interest rate should be zero, that fiat money should not be artificially created and that a safe central bank be established for stability, efficiency and fundamental fairness. One can now see how the epic war since time immemorial is being waged by those who have established a privileged system to create fiat money artificially and to usurp the same disproportionately and use their power of their credits so accumulated to further usurp the hard-earned savings of the vast majority that perseveres to produce, create and serve to prop national security and currency. The privileged creditors want to levy an unsustainable interest rate on the others forced to borrow that money and perpetuate the system of robbery to never diminish their accumulated credits and power. Incidentally, may I state that I did not hold any company's stock in 1991, when I found through research mimeographed at the Federal Reserve that the federal guarantee of bank debt was inefficient and unstable for the system of money and finance. I have now found a similar conclusion about the idea of FMIC presented here. This taxpayer/public guarantee is the root cause of moral hazard, instability and inefficiency of the system of money and finance, which also transgresses the constitutional tenet of fundamental fairness (Acharya, 2013). 5. War to Take Control of Home Mortgage The revival of a defunct (Corker-Warner) bill which was tabled away a year ago shows that a mortgage war has erupted for taking control over about $8 trillion of home mortgage assets (loans) now held by Fannie and Freddie. These assets currently generate about $50 billion of annual profits, despite relatively moderate interest rates charged by the two government-sponsored enterprises. These profits represent the difference between the mortgage interest rate paid by borrowers and the cost of funds and operations of Fannie and Freddie. The profits are, thus, transfers from mortgage borrowers to Fannie and Freddie and then to Treasury through the profit sweep agreement signed in August 2012. The profits on the same mortgage loans would rise astronomically if they were held by private banks that need to charge much higher interest rates to cover massive executive compensations.
The Unprivileged vast majority will be crushed and the privileged few will become enormously richer and more powerful by the Corker-Warner-Crapo-Johnson Bill. How?
All unprivileged Americans thus need to wake up to see the truth:
[1] The Phillips curve (plot of employment against inflation) is sloping upwards in the short run, but is vertical in the long run. http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economic-sciences/laureates/1995/press.html |